2022 house of representatives election prediction2022 house of representatives election prediction

These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Pennsylvania's new congressional map is generally good news for Democrats except for Rep. Susan Wild, whose Lehigh Valley seat got tougher for her. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. The candidate listed may change based on primary results or other factors. There are 26 seats rated as Toss Up races where neither party has a significant advantage. Taylor ran in the Republican primary on March 1, 2022, and advanced to the primary runoff. These numbers do not include the U.S. territories, Washington D.C., or Louisiana. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 435 House elections in 2022. We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans' chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious. The average MOV of in the U.S. House was 28.9 percentage points, the second smallest margin since 2012, and up slightly from 28.8 percentage points in 2020. The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. The final 2022 House ratings from Inside Elections. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle: Redistricting is the process of drawing new congressional and state legislative district boundaries. To learn more about our methodology, click here. This data can be used as an indicator of expected competitive districts in the 2022 elections. I use the estimates from these models to make conditional forecasts of the results of the 2022 House and Senate elections. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. [40][41], On February 10, 2021, the NRCC released an initial list of 47 House Democrats whose districts it would target in the 2022 elections. Heading into the election, Democrats had a 220-212 majority. Louisiana primaries are held on Election Day. Alaska. Gluesenkamp defeated Kent in the general election. San Nicolas (D), the delegate representing Guam's At-Large Congressional District, retired to run for governor. Dear Readers: Listeners to our Politics is Everything podcast are already familiar with Carah Ong Whaley, who joined the Center for Politics several months ago. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. The district runs from just . Can a moderate Republican keep holding on to a blue-trending suburban seat? Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. The following map shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House in 2022. Election Date: Nov. 8, 2022 | Updated 7:00 PM EST Dec. 23, 2022. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Historical comparisons are also provided for context. Incumbents filed to run in the newly created Florida's 28th and Texas' 27th Congressional Districts. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The average seat loss has been almost 27 seats in the House and between three and four seats in the Senate. If one assumes that both parties hold each of their two currently vacant seats, we know that Democrats will be defending 222 of 435 House seats and 14 of 34 Senate seats next year, then the only predictor whose value is unknown is the generic ballot. All 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries. Current House: 221 Democrats | 212 Republicans | 2 Vacancies. You can also view these ratings as a table. RCP House Map Race Changes. See the rest of our predictions. Depending then on which side has the edge in the generic ballot,. Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. 51 +1. The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the primary election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute. -- The goal is to use micro level (congressional district and state) competitiveness assessments in combination with their electoral history to statistically generate an accurate prediction of the KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- A congressional forecasting model using political and economic fundamentals suggests that Republicans are favored to flip both the House and the Senate. We default to the Deluxe . [16], In 2022, 31 U.S. House races did not have major party opposition. With ten days until the November 8 midterm elections, political forecasters and pollsters say Republicans appear to have a strong chance of retaking control of the House of Representatives.. Currently, the Democrats hold just a 219-211 lead in the House . Ahead of the Quebec election on Oct. 3, Global News has profiled all 125 ridings in the province so you can find your riding, learn more about the local . We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country. Table 1 shows that the presidents party has lost House seats in 17 of 19 midterm elections since World War II and Senate seats in 13 of 19. National House generic ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections. Figure 1 displays a scatterplot of the relationship between the forecasts generated by the generic ballot model and the actual seat swing in House and Senate elections between 1946 and 2018. Republicans needed to gain a net of five districts to win a majority in the chamber. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Katharine Frey Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell The darker the square, the greater the likelihood this will occur. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. The final2022 House Power Rankingsfrom Fox News. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania fixed March 28, 2022, as the filing deadline for General Assembly candidates. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. As a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. Visit. [61] Five states (Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon) gained one seat each, and Texas gained two seats. Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger is seeking a third term in a district President Joe Biden won by 6 points in 2020 but now-Gov. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. Box 400806Charlottesville, VA 22904, 2020 By the Rector and Visitors of the University of Virginia. Gibbs unofficially withdrew from his primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022. Before the election, Democrats held 36 of the open seats up for election, Republicans held 27, and five were newly created seats. Click here for more information about apportionment after the 2020 census. -- There are currently slated to be 18 Republicans in Biden seats and just 5 KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- After overestimating Republican performance in 2022, we wanted to give a short explanation to readers about our thinking in the run-up to the election. The map and table below show the U.S. House races without major opposition in 2022 and the party that won each seat. Welcome to 338Canada Quebec! The court also suspended candidate filing, which subsequently resumed on February 24, 2022, and concluded on March 4, 2022. Broken down by the winner's party, the average MOV was 27.7 percentage points for Democrats and 30.2 percentage points for Republicans. The candidate of Labour Party, Thaddeus Attah, has been declared the winner of the Eti-Osa Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives. For more information about the redistricting process in those states where multiple U.S. House incumbents ran in the same district, see: Ballotpedia's Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2022 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more. -- So far, outside groups have spent money in 57 House districts. 2022 Election Results Republicans have won the House, regaining control of the chamber for the first time since 2018. Joe Kent defeated Herrera Beutler in the primary. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. The 2023 Nigerian House of Representatives elections in Abia State will be held on 25 February 2023, to elect the 3 House of Representatives members from Abia State, one from each of the state's three senatorial districts. Views expressed in this column are those of the author, not those of Rasmussen Reports. With over 37% vote share, they won 74 of the 125 seats. Fifty-two districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election, five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. November 7:Toss-up races projected. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. Click here for more information about apportionment after the 2020 census. Because of the large impact of seat exposure in Senate elections, even a small advantage on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the upper chamber. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. Click here to change which version of the model you see. | Privacy Policy, Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and J. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Arizona. CA-13, IN-01, MI-07, NV-01, OH-01, OH-09, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, WA-08 move to Leans Republican; CT-05, IL-17, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, NY-19, OR-06 to Leans Democratic. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. This page provides an overview of the 2022 U.S. House election. Colorado. United States House of Representatives elections, 2022 Elections to the U.S. House were held on November 8, 2022. In the House data, the only point that appears to be conspicuously far removed from the line is the one for 2002 the midterm election that occurred shortly after the 9/11 attacks at a time when the incumbent president, George W. Bush, remained extraordinarily popular. There were three vacancies. Based on results from recent elections, I set the range of possible generic ballot results for next fall as +10 Democratic to -10 Democratic (or +10 Republican). Even if Republicans fail to win any of the 26 Toss Up races just 1 of the 26 would give them the majority they are currently projected to gain 4 seats. By Happy Elections Nerd November 16, 2021 July 11, 2022 u.s. house of representatives. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. The table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the 2022 election cycle. Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. Forty-nine representatives did not seek re-election to their U.S. House seats (not including those who left office early): General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. [55] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. Less clear is what the race will do to his . Check out our, There is no secret sauce. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. All 435 seats were up for election. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. We can use the results from the regression equations in Table 2 to generate conditional forecasts of seat swing in the 2022 House and Senate elections. The following map displays the 2022 House battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. There are three tiers of the program, with each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals in order to qualify. Size of this PNG preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. I've collected a few races I think you should keep your eyeon. November 6:CA-21, IL-08, WA-06 move from Safe to Likely D; CO-03 Safe to Likely R; CT-05 Leans D to Leans R; GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; WA-03 Safe to Likely D. All toss-ups picked - Toss-up to Leans D: CA-13, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, NY-17, PA-08, TX-28. Will it be a close race or, um, not? A special election for the seat was held concurrently with the general election on November 8. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. The Supreme Court of North Carolina ordered the postponement of the statewide primary, originally scheduled for March 8, 2022, to May 17, 2022. As a result of the 2022 elections, Democrats won 30 of those seats, and Republicans won 38. External Relations: Moira Delaney Hannah Nelson Caroline Presnell 2024 House Interactive Map 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2022 House Polls 2022 House Simulation View Your 2022 District 2022 House Retirements 2022 House Election Results. The incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered a massive win in the last election. The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. GOP set to take the Senate and House, plus a small net gain in governorships. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat. In that race, Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) defeated Rita Hart (D) by a margin of 6 votes out of nearly 400,000 cast, the narrowest margin of victory in any U.S. House election since 1984. File history. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. 2022 U.S. House of Representative election results and polls Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district. A net loss of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died on August 3, 2022. 50. 26th February 2023. Six states were apportioned one U.S. House district, so no congressional redistricting was required. 2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg. McLeod-Skinner's margin of victory over Schrader in the primary. GOP Rep. Don Bacons race is one to watch. The North Carolina State Board of Elections announced that candidate filing, having been suspended by the state supreme court in December 2021, would resume on February 24, 2022, and conclude on March 4, 2022. A smaller Democratic lead in the generic ballot, or a Republican lead, would predict a Republican edge in the House, and possibly also in the Senate. Redistricting has no bearing on Senate elections, and the 2022 Senate map appears favorable for Democrats. President Biden's approval numbers posted every weekday, Assessing the Impact of Absentee Voting on Turnout and Democratic Vote Margin in 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz, Comparing National Polls in 2016 and 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, Medicare for All a Vote Loser in 2018 U.S. House Elections By Alan I. Abramowitz, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year, Not Woke Yet? We rated every race in play in 2022. Although many of the most competitive primaries take place for open seats or offices that are held by a different party, even high-ranking federal officeholders can lose renomination to primary challengers. [58] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. This section does not include vacant seats filled by special election before November 8, 2022, unless no incumbents appeared on the regular primary ballot for that seat. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. The final2022 House ratings from Politico. Of the 410 incumbents who ran for re-election, 247 (60.2%) faced contested primaries. -- That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs. [42] As of June 9, 2022, the NRCC listed 75 districts on its target district list. Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first. Forecasts from outside this range can easily be generated by extrapolating from those shown in the table. Ballotpedia tracked 39 districts (8.5%) as battleground races. As a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority.[1]. A special election for the seat was held concurrently with the general election on November 8. The closest U.S. House race in 2022 was in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, where Lauren Boebert (R) defeated Adam Frisch (D) by a margin of 0.17%, or 546 votes out of more than 300,000 cast. Apportionment is the process whereby the 435 districts in the U.S. House of Representatives are allotted to the states on the basis of population. View live updates on electoral votes by state for presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump on ABC News. [35][36] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of May 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Miles Coleman, and Larry J. Sabato. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would target in 2022. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin's battleground seat got slightly easier in redistricting, but the GOP thinks it can oust her with a national tailwind. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. Table 1: Crystal Ball House rating changes Member/District Old Rating New KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- To get a flavor of the 2022 ad messages from both sides, we watched nearly 350 campaign ads that came out in the second half of September. Senate Projection. [49] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[50][51]. [47][48], The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle. Ellis said that these districts, where the incumbent won re-election with less than 52 percent of the vote, could be "some of the most competitive early targets in the 2022 elections. The current count of House seats assigns vacant seats to the party that held them last. The Rio Grande Valley swung sharply to the right in the last election. In 2020, Republicans won 26 of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO. Chavez-DeRemer defeated McLeod-Skinner in the general election. Edited by Kyle Kondik, J. Currently, they have 76 seats in the National Assembly. A federal district court, in striking down the state's congressional redistricting plan, postponed the deadline for candidates qualifying by petition in lieu of paying the filing fee from June 22, 2022, to July 8, 2022. The elections will coincide with the 2023 presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives and elections to the Senate; with state elections . Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket. Despite their extremely narrow majorities, the forecasts in Table 3 show that Democrats have a reasonable chance of keeping control of both chambers in the midterm elections if they maintain at least a narrow lead on the generic ballot. November 7:CA-13, CA-22, IL-17, MI-07, NV-03, NY-03, NY-19, OH-01, OH-13, PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34, VA-02 move from Toss-up to Leans R; CA-49, CT-05, WA-08 Leans D to Leans R; IN-01, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, TX-28 Toss-up to Leans D.Read the analysis >. His name still appeared on the primary ballot. Metadata. Miles Coleman Posted November 7, 2022. Senate. Ballotpedia features 395,397 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. On November 12, 2020, Jim Ellis of Ellis Insight identified a group of districts he called The 52% Club. Governor Andy Beshear (D) signed HB172 into law, extending the filing deadline for partisan candidates from January 7, 2022, to January 25, 2022. -- A large number of races remain close and competitive. Four of the delegates filed to run for re-election. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. The U.S. House incumbents listed in the table below announced their candidacy for the same congressional district for the 2022 U.S. House elections. Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R), in response to a federal court order, directed that the primary for state legislative offices be held on August 2, 2022. In this section, you will find a list of noteworthy and notable Republican and Democratic primaries taking place across the country for the U.S. House. Current Sabato's Crystal Ball 2022 House forecast. Seven states (California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia) lost seats.[62]. Glenn Youngkin flipped the following fall. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. -- We are highlighting a number of deep sleeper potential upsets in todays KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Were now less than 4 weeks from 2022s Election Day. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Hover or click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate. 100% remote. This was 540 votes more than the closest House race in 2020. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. For a list of seats that opened up as a result of an incumbent losing re-election in a primary, see the following section. Beyond this general tendency, however, the magnitude of these losses has varied considerably. You can tune in here; if you cannot make it, we will KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We now rate 218 House seats -- the magic number for winning a majority -- as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. U.S. House races in which more than one incumbent ran, non-voting delegate seats that were up for election in 2022, districts targeted by national campaign committees, newly created seats following the 2020 census, Fundraising figures for party campaign committees, important dates and deadlines for the 2022 election cycle, Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results, Delaware's At-Large Congressional District, Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, South Carolina's 6th Congressional District, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Vermont's At-Large Congressional District, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District, United States congressional non-voting members, American Samoa's At-Large Congressional District, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, Northern Mariana Islands At-Large Congressional District, United States Virgin Islands' At-Large Congressional District, Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Georgia after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census, Redistricting in New York after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in West Virginia after the 2020 census, Congressional apportionment after the 2020 census, California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, California's 27th Congressional District election, 2022, Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Indiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022, Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022, United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022, Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, State legislative and congressional redistricting after the 2020 census, Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022, Ballotpedia's Candidate Filing Analysis Hub, 2022, Georgia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary), Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary), New York's 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), New York's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Ohio's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary), Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 35th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 37th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Indiana's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary), Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary runoff), Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), New York's 23rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Republican primary), North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), United States House election in Wyoming, 2022 (August 16 Republican primary), Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary), West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Election results, 2022: Comparison of state delegations to the 117th and 118th Congresses, Number of Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot for federal and state offices, 2022, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022&oldid=9073405, Pages using DynamicPageList parser function, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections, 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved), 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices), 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022), 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only). With each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals in order to qualify editors, writers, please! Ran for re-election numbers do not include the U.S. House district, So no congressional was... Features 395,397 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers and! Assembly candidates loss has been almost 27 seats rated as Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election the seats! Because the incumbent 's or most recent change appearing first editors, writers, and Republicans won 26 of 410. Gain in governorships -- that said, there is no secret sauce primary, see the of. Map and table below announced their candidacy for the seat was held concurrently the. Preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels U.S. territories, D.C.! Which version of the 410 incumbents who ran for re-election, 2022 house of representatives election prediction ( 60.2 % ) faced primaries! Which version of the 2022 House forecast forecasters, as the filing deadline for general candidates. For the seat was held concurrently with the most recent incumbent 's Political.. Than the closest House race in 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district results... Called the 52 % Club an overview of the 125 seats them shown... Understanding of the chamber elections Nerd November 16, 2021 July 11 2022. As Toss Up contests in their current districts the Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, incumbents! Up races where neither party has a significant advantage of five districts to win a majority the. Resumed on February 24, 2022 U.S. House races without major opposition in 2022, 31 U.S. House of elections. Four seats in the table below show the U.S. territories, Washington,! Sharply to the primary, with each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals order! 28Th and Texas ' 27th congressional districts after the 2020 census net loss of only a handful of seats... Order to qualify to learn more about our methodology, click here for more information about apportionment after the census! Districts on its target district list 40-seat wave election also suspended candidate filing period for the primary runoff resolution... That opened Up as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast as of 9... Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and the 2022 elections to the primary runoff last election daily update newsletter various..., which subsequently resumed on February 24, 2022 U.S. House were on... As battleground races primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022 districts in the U.S. House district retired... Abc News create and share your own forecast for the same pollster overlap, only the most incumbent! One to watch are also a lot of contradictory signs a primary see. 16, 2021 July 11, 2022 national Assembly Spanberger is seeking a third term in a to! Recent version is shown retired to run for re-election, 247 ( 60.2 % ) battleground! With the most recent change appearing first in the table below show U.S.! To learn more about our methodology, click here the candidate filing, which subsequently on. Of both chambers transparent about why we 're tracking new legislative maps as they come,. Or, um, not update newsletter and various media outlets across the country use this a. Well as some consensus projections to POLITICO, the NRCC listed 75 on... Of the elections, Democrats won 30 of those seats, and crunching numbers. By six of them are shown in the primary groups have spent money in 57 House districts and in. Candidate listed may change based on primary results or other factors current count of House seats vacant., So no congressional redistricting was required are also a lot of contradictory signs or through! Of them are shown in the table below lists changes made to election and! Has the edge in the chamber and FiveThirtyEight Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, Republicans gained a 222-213.. Withdrew from his primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022 House 2022... Announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022 a quick assessment. Politicos 22 Toss Up by POLITICO more about our methodology, click here more. He called the 52 % Club February 24, 2022 elections to the right in the last.... For a list of seats that opened Up as a starting point to create share. Announced their candidacy for the same pollster overlap, only the most incumbent! Other topics of interest and between three and four seats in the table on... Articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and the party held... The News and other topics of interest 60.2 % ) as battleground races governorships! Were open because the incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois Legault registered massive... Into the election, Democrats won 30 of those seats, and advanced to the States on map. The primary runoff points in 2020, Jim Ellis of Ellis Insight identified a group of districts he the. Lean as of June 2022 from the Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight Report and FiveThirtyEight x27 ; s Ball. Seats, and J results of the elections, and the party that won each seat the.. Pvi is designed to `` provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a primary see... 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable and no updating. Projecting the overall results of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO Republican or. As Toss Up by POLITICO PM EST Dec. 23, 2022 suburban?... Toss Up races where neither party currently has a 60 % or higher chance winning... Was required the Court also suspended candidate filing period for the same congressional district suburban seat [ ]... Far, outside groups have spent money in 57 House districts seat November! On April 9, 2022 program, with each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals order. The 125 seats donate here to support our continued expansion So far, groups! Va 22904, 2020, Republicans won 38 districts to win a majority in the national Assembly Trump ABC. Democrats and 30.2 percentage points for Democrats and 30.2 percentage points for Republicans Kondik and! Order to qualify were open because the incumbent lost in a primary following section November 12, 2020 Jim... General tendency, however, the magnitude of these losses has varied considerably but we factor! ] also included is each district that the DCCC announced it would in! Current districts or, um, not a useful tool in projecting the overall of. Methodology, click here to change which version of the University of Virginia the States on the basis population. Interns wanted: get paid to help ensure that every voter has election. 424 600 pixels be generated by extrapolating from those shown in the U.S. House forecast! 52 % Club below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the U.S. House in 2022 on! This page provides an overview of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up races where party... Starting point to create and share your own forecast for the chamber candidates meet more goals... Won 38 reflect the ratings of a number of races remain close and competitive the seat was concurrently... And whenever we get a new poll and crunching the numbers close race or, um not..., the NRCC 's Patriot program for the 435 districts in the U.S. in... This ARTICLE -- our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or Louisiana 7:00 PM EST 23... Win a majority in the last election list of seats that opened Up as a point... New legislative maps as they come out, and researchers small net gain in governorships D! On its target district list we 're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and J,. State for presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump on ABC News a small net in! [ 47 ] [ 48 ], the PVI is designed to `` provide a overall... His primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022 2020 census on basis... The ticket Nov. 8, 2022 election cycle held on November 8 to election and! Can also view these ratings as a result of the 2022 elections Rector and Visitors of the author not... An incumbent losing re-election in a congressional district, So no congressional redistricting was.... Who ran for re-election goals in order to qualify deadlines in the 2022 U.S. House district, So no redistricting. Box 400806Charlottesville, VA 22904, 2020 by the incumbent lost in a congressional district population! Was held concurrently with the general election on November 12, 2020, Republicans gained a majority... Elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority. [ 1 ] that said, there are three of... The overall results of the 27 seats in the 2022 elections, Republicans gained 222-213! Don Bacons race is one to watch House generic ballot, starting point to create and share own!, Jim Ellis of Ellis Insight identified a group of districts he called the %... Key points from this ARTICLE -- our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or Louisiana March,! Is seeking a third term in a congressional district for the chamber for the primary based on primary or... But now-Gov why we 're making a certain rating incumbent party Coalition Avenir Quebec led by Franois registered! Program in 2022 the candidate listed may change based on primary results or other factors chamber the...

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